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Matthew Peter

Our Chief Economist's view

"The global economy has faced multiple shocks this year, including tariffs, conflicts and fiscal disruptions. The US economy has remained surprisingly resilient, though cracks are emerging in the labour market and growth is expected to slow. Inflation is rising, but the US Federal Reserve is expected to look through temporary tariff effects and cut rates by 25bps in October and December. Lower rates and fiscal expansion will support a modest recovery into 2026. Australia is set to outperform global peers, with moderate growth this year strengthening over 2026. One more RBA rate cut is expected in 2026."

Dr Matthew Peter, QIC Chief Economist

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Investable opportunities

   

Outlook for Australian Real Estate 2025

Australia's real estate market is entering a phase of renewed opportunity.

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All eyes on Australian credit                                          

The compelling opportunity for Asian investors.

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Powering up: the role of Private Debt in the US energy sector

A convergence of market trends is driving a surge in demand for new power generation in the United States unrivalled across the world's developed economies.

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Allison Hill, 2024

Our CIO's view

"Despite elevated geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty, valuations in many developed equity markets continue to benefit from easier financial conditions and supportive policy settings. While recent performance has been strong, the global economy remains fragile, and we expect an environment more susceptible to downside shocks and volatility. Over the medium term, AI, debt dynamics, trade and fiscal policy sustainability, and geopolitical shifts are likely to dominate market focus. Over longer horizons, protectionism, a multipolar world, populism and waning US exceptionalism may reshape the global order. Amid persistent uncertainty, we remain open-minded to policy and market paths, focusing instead on enhancing the resilience and diversification of State Investment Portfolios through active, uncorrelated and yield-based strategies offering attractive risk-return profiles."

Allison Hill, QIC State Chief Investment Officer