Our Chief Economist's view
"The global economy has faced multiple shocks this year, including tariffs, conflicts and fiscal disruptions. The US economy has remained surprisingly resilient, though cracks are emerging in the labour market and growth is expected to slow. Inflation is rising, but the US Federal Reserve is expected to look through temporary tariff effects and cut rates by 25bps in October and December. Lower rates and fiscal expansion will support a modest recovery into 2026. Australia is set to outperform global peers, with moderate growth this year strengthening over 2026. One more RBA rate cut is expected in 2026."
Dr Matthew Peter, QIC Chief Economist
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